SCIO briefing on China's financial statistics in H1 2021
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E-mail China.org.cn, July 16, 2021
Chen Wenjun:
Thank you, Ms. Ruan. The floor is now open to questions. Please identify the news organizations you represent before raising questions.
China Securities Journal:
What are the structural features of total social financing (TSF) in the first half of the year? How will they change in the second half of the year? Thank you.
Ruan Jianhong:
The TSF grew by 17.74 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, a drop of 3.13 trillion yuan year-on-year, but a 3.12 trillion yuan increase than the same period in 2019. At the end of June, the growth rate of TSF was 11%, leveling the same period in May, and was consistent with the nominal GDP growth. Therefore, our financial support toward the real economy is consistent with the overall economic growth.
Let's take a look at the TSF structure. We can see from the statistics that the structure shows some signs of divergence, which may affect our impression on the overall scale. Two reasons have contributed to the decelerated growth or accelerated decline compared to last year. The first is that shrinking shadow banking assets have led to a drop in off-balance-sheet financing. In the first half of the year, off-balance-sheet financing, including entrusted loans, trust loans, and undiscounted bankers' acceptances, declined by 843.6 billion yuan, a drop of 869.9 billion yuan year-on-year. Second, compared to last year's expanded government and corporate bonds to offset the impact of COVID-19 on the economy, this year's bond issuance has been normalized. At the same time, the reason for an accelerated growth in TSF compared to 2019 is the rise in RMB-denominated loans and stock financing. Specifically, RMB loans rose by 613.5 billion yuan in the first half of the year compared to the same period last year. In comparison, stock financing by non-financial companies reached 495.5 billion yuan, up by 249.4 billion yuan year-on-year.
In the second half of this year, we will continue to implement prudent monetary policies that are flexible, precise, reasonable, and moderate and will serve the development of the real economy. We expect the TSF to grow steadily and consistently with the nominal GDP growth. Thank you.
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