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E-mail China.org.cn, November 25, 2024
Reuters:
How can China's proactive fiscal policy be more effective in boosting consumption and preventing deflationary risks? Additionally, is there an estimate for the scale of this fiscal policy package? And how much room is there for the central government to leverage its finances?
Lan Fo'an:
Thank you for your questions. This year, we have focused more on the counter-cyclical role of proactive fiscal policy, maintaining strong fiscal spending, and continuously working to stimulate consumption and expand effective demand, especially in areas like boosting domestic demand, stimulate consumption and improving people's livelihoods. We have been actively working in three main areas:
First, increasing household income through a range of measures. We have steadily raised social security levels. In 2024, the minimum standard for basic pensions for urban and rural residents has been further increased, which was the largest increase in history. Pension levels for retirees have also been raised by around 3%, and per capita government subsidies for urban and rural residents' health insurance have been significantly increased. In addition to improving the tiered social assistance system, we distributed one-time living allowances before the National Day holiday to disadvantaged groups and individuals, such as people in extreme difficulties and orphans, to boost their incomes and enhance their capacity and willingness to spend.
Second, expanding government investment through multiple channels. As mentioned earlier, the issuance of 1 trillion yuan in ultra-long special treasury bonds, an additional 3.9 trillion yuan quota for local government special bonds, and 700 billion yuan in central government budget investment in 2024, combined with the additional government bonds issued in 2023, the total funds available for increasing government investment have significantly increased compared to last year, driving effective investment and expanding domestic demand.
Third, implementing the policy of large-scale equipment upgrades and consumer goods trade-ins. We have allocated around 300 billion yuan in ultra-long special treasury bonds, with local governments beginning to roll out specific operational measures since late August and early September. These measures focus on supporting key sectors, particularly equipment upgrades, enhancing local capacity to replace old consumer goods with new ones, driving investment growth, unlocking consumption potential and promoting industrial development.
Looking ahead, the MOF will continue to focus on targeted, precise policies. We will optimize fundamental policy mechanisms, improve residents' income expectations, and stimulate consumption potential. We will also make better use of special funds and interest subsidies on loans, improve the trade and circulation system, and enhance the consumption environment. Additionally, we will leverage government bonds to drive effective investment and expand domestic demand.
As for your second question regarding the central government's potential for fiscal leverage, I mentioned earlier that the central government has considerable room to increase debt and raise the deficit. Moving forward, we will follow the decisions of the CPC Central Committee, balance development and security, and take into account such factors as the economic situation, macroeconomic needs and the fiscal position. We will use debt policy tools appropriately to promote sustained economic development. Thank you.
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