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SCIO briefing on China's import and export in first 3 quarters of 2024

0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, November 27, 2024
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ThePaper.cn:

Data shows that China's import growth has slowed in recent months. Does this reflect weak domestic demand? Can you provide details on September's import performance? What are your expectations for import trends for the full year? Thank you.

Lyu Daliang:

Thank you for your questions. As Mr. Wang just mentioned, China's imports totaled 13.71 trillion yuan in the first three quarters, a 4.1% year-on-year increase, reaching a historic high for the same period. While the monthly year-on-year growth rates fluctuated this year, import volumes rose quarter by quarter, with each quarter showing positive year-on-year growth. Additionally, China's import sources have remained diverse and stable, with imports from over 140 countries and regions across six continents experiencing growth. Specifically, imports from Europe and the U.S. increased by 1.2% and 2.7%, respectively, while imports from ASEAN, Latin America and Africa grew by 5.4%, 5.3% and 10.3%, respectively.

As for imports in September, looking solely at the numbers, the year-on-year growth rate in yuan terms slowed, influenced by factors such as import prices and exchange rate fluctuations. However, in terms of scale, the volume of imports has expanded month on month since July, with September marking the highest point this year — a 2% increase from August. In terms of quantity, September imports grew by 0.7% year on year. Notably, coal, natural gas, and integrated circuits all saw double-digit growths, increasing by 13%, 19%, and 17%, respectively. This reflects a sustained recovery in domestic demand. Moreover, when measured in U.S. dollars, imports showed a slight uptick in September.

China has steadfastly advanced high-level opening up and proactively expanded imports. The third plenary session of the 20th CPC Central Committee emphasized that "we will seize the initiative by opening China's commodity, services, capital, and labor markets wider to the outside world in an orderly manner and unilaterally opening our doors wider to the world's least developed countries." At the 2024 Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation held in Beijing on Sept. 5, President Xi Jinping announced that China had decided to give all least developed countries (LDCs) with diplomatic ties to China zero-tariff treatment on all tariff lines, making China the first developing country and major economy in the world to implement this initiative. In the first three quarters of this year, China's imports from LDCs increased by 14%. As this decision is materialized, China's imports from these nations will continue to expand. Next month, the 7th China International Import Expo (CIIE) will be held in Shanghai. The growing success of the CIIE continues to demonstrate China's commitment to greater opening up while providing more countries with opportunities to benefit from China's vast market. Thank you. 

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