China's economy surged a year-on-year 10.9 percent in the first
half of 2006, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) revealed
Tuesday, roaring ahead despite a slew of measures imposed by the
government to ease investment growth.
Total gross domestic product between January and June reached
9.14 trillion yuan (US$1.14 trillion), NBS spokesman Zheng Jingping
told a press conference in Beijing Tuesday morning.
Zheng played down the growth, saying high rates were also
reported in previous years.
"As for the current economic situation, generally speaking, we
believe that it is fairly sound and also fairly fast," he said.
Another piece of good news is that inflation remained moderate,
with the key consumer price index (CPI) rising 1.3 percent from a
year earlier. "The CPI was running at a fairly low level," Zheng
said.
But Zheng warned of high producer prices, which would put
pressure on a CPI rise. He said excessive growth of investment
could also ignite inflation.
China's macro-economy presents "obvious overheating of
investment" in the first half of this year, Wang Xiaoguang, a
macroeconomics professor at the economic research institute of the
National Development and Reform Commission, told Xinhua.
The NBS said total investment in roads, factory equipment and
other fixed assets soared 29.8 percent, an increase of 4.4
percentage points from the same period of last year.
"The overheating is all-round, in nearly all industries and all
regions of the country," Wang said, urging the government to
tighten macro-control to contain the trend.
Tao Dong, an economist with Credit Suisse in Hong Kong, said the
rebound in investment in fixed assets is a problem in China's
economy.
"One of the measures that should be taken to contain the
overheating economy is to raise the interest rate by a big enough
margin," following a moderate hike in April, said Tao.
Frank Gong, an economist with JP Morgan in Hong Kong, blamed the
overheating economy on the excessive money supply brought by
soaring foreign exchange reserves.
"The fundamental way is to accelerate the appreciation of the
renminbi," he said.
Some tightening measures have already been taken in the second
quarter, and effects could be felt later, he said.
According to the NBS, the investment in urban areas in the past
six months reached 3,636.8 billion yuan, an increase of 31.3
percent or 4.2 percentage points higher, the highest growth since
the second half year of 2004.
Stimulated by the surging housing demand, the total investment
in real estate sector increased by 24.2 percent, or 0.7 percentage
point higher over the same period last year.
In terms of different industries, the investment in heavy
industry was up by 32.6 percent, of which the year-on-year growth
of investment in coal mining and washing was a record high of 45.7
percent.
The country's soaring demand for energy resources drives the
investment in extraction of petroleum and natural gas up 30.3
percent in the first half of this year, and investment in
production and supply of electricity, gas and water went up by 17.5
percent.
While stimulated by the booming economic growth, the investment
in railway transportation, the main vehicle to transport production
materials in China, surged 87.6 percent in the first half of this
year.
In the first half, the total retail sales of consumer goods
reached 3,644.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year rise of 13.3 percent,
NBS figures show.
Of the total, the retail sales in urban areas reached 2,461.7
billion yuan, up 14.0 percent, and the retail sales at and below
country level stood at 1,183.1 billion yuan, up 12.0 percent.
In terms of different sectors, the sales by wholesale and retail
business totaled 3,082.1 billion yuan, up 13.4 percent and that by
lodging and catering industry was 492.9 billion yuan, up 15.3
percent.
Among the wholesale and retail business, the year-on-year growth
of the retail sales of telecommunication equipment was 25.5
percent, and that of petroleum products was 38.4 percent.
The NBS figures showed that from January to June, China's export
value amounted to US$428.6 billion, up 25.2 percent year on year,
or 7.5 percentage points lower than the same period of 2005. The
country's import value stood at US$367.1 billion, an increase of
21.3 percent, or 7.3 percentage points higher than the January-June
period of last year.
By the end of June, China's trade surplus was US$61.4 billion.
The nation's foreign exchange reserves climbed to US$941.1 billion,
an increase of US$122.2 billion compared with that at the beginning
of this year.
(Xinhua News Agency July 18, 2006)