There is no question how much China's open trade has contributed to the Chinese economy. But beyond that, China needs to develop a more open, but well-designed trade policy regime. It requires the following:
For years, the world has been working on the same research project: how to deal with a rising China. If open trade has worked well in the past, then "open but fair" trade will work better in the future. The era of "Made in China" businesses competing with each other overseas and ending up with antidumping duties should be over. The tax rebate model of trade growth is neither sustainable nor fair. Private businesses should repair their competitive strategies while the government should make policy adjustments to ensure fair competition.
Traditional trade theory is challenged today. Trade surpluses do not necessarily mean rising trade competitiveness and increasing hard power, while trade deficits do not necessarily mean less trade competiveness and declining hard power. Trade, competitive or not, will be judged by a nation's trade institutions, rather than balances of trade or volumes. The fact is, developed nations export value, while developing nations export volume. The former compete with institutional advantages, while the later compete with cheap labor.
Needless to say, there are no relationships today that are merely bilateral. All China factors are global. To integrate foreign policy and trade policy into economic policy will require institutional capacity building within China. The government should prioritize efforts to enhance domestic laws and regulations, build the transparency necessary for a level playing field and provide sound institutional support for business development.
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