Change in balance of power between Hamas, Israel
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E-mail Xinhua, November 24, 2012
Fragile ceasefire
The ceasefire agreement calls on both sides to refrain from any future attacks on each other. It also includes a permanent opening of crossings, easing the movements of goods and persons, and stopping targeting the population near borderline areas between Gaza and Israel.
Abu Se'da expected the agreement to last for a certain period of time, saying both Israel and Hamas would avoid at least during this time to outrage Egypt or other regional countries by violating the deal.
Some positive changes would happen if the agreement lasted, he added.
But Ahmed Rafiq Awad, a political analyst from the West Bank, believed that a single strike carried out by one of the two sides would break the agreement and bring conflicts back to the region, saying there had been ceasefire deals reached before that were violated.
Other political analysts said that despite the great losses to the Gaza Strip, Hamas recorded a series of achievements that carry big meanings.
Hani Habib, a political analyst from Gaza, said the balance of power between Hamas and Israel "was disordered."
"Hamas earned more international support and a semi-recognition of the world after it forced Israel to come to the table of indirect negotiations through Egypt's mediation," he said. "The status now has created a new situation and changes in the rules of the game."
Bdel Qader Hammad, another Gaza-based analyst, said there are changes in the positions of many countries in the region, which now support Hamas.
"This was clear when 18 Arab foreign ministers visited the Gaza Strip during the war," he said.
"After Hamas won the parliamentary elections in 2006, and seized control of the Gaza Strip by force in 2007 and went into a big war in late 2008 with Israel, it saw itself the super Palestinian power that should represent all the Palestinians all over the world," Hammad added.
Internal reconciliation
Palestinian observers believed that the war on Gaza this time had also brought positive signs of achieving an internal reconciliation between Hamas and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas' Fatah party. Sources said contacts had been intensively held to renew efforts to end internal disputes.
Abbas, who is busy now preparing for the Palestinian bid due on Nov. 29 to gain the United Nations' recognition of a non-member observer state, hopes to gain Hamas' support. Hamas hasn't officially declared that it will back his diplomatic battle in the world body.
Talal Oukal, a Gaza-based political analyst, said he hoped that Egypt, which is more influential on Hamas this time, would start a serious move to pressure the Hamas and other parties to end the division between Gaza and the West Bank and achieve reconciliation.
Eyad Barghothi, another West Bank political analyst, said it is clear that when a Palestinian party becomes the winner, other parties are becoming losers in terms of ability, representation and the relationship between the region and the entire world.
"Having one power winning on the expense of another power would harm the Palestinian cause, therefore, the only solution is that the two big powers should immediately sit together and achieve a historic reconciliation that ends more than five years of division," Barghothi said.
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