Possible 'spy' swap signals stabilizing relations
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Xinhua, October 24, 2011
Historical ties
"There is a certain warming now in the Israel-Egyptians relations, mainly because of the role of the Egyptians in the Shalit deal," Bar-Joseph said, adding that "It's an indicator that the Egyptians are more positive towards Israel."
Egypt became the first Arab country to sign a peace agreement with the Jewish state in 1979, however the deal never won the approval of the average Egyptians.
When former Egyptian President Anwar Sadat, who signed the deal, was assassinated in 1981, it was believed that the peace treaty was one of the main motives for the killing. Despite the unpopularity of the deal, however, Sadat's successor Hosni Mubarak maintained it, and developed solid but cold relations with Israel.
But while Israelis flocked to the pyramids on cheap package deals, very few Egyptians even reciprocated the visits, with Egyptian trade unions and professional groups blacklisting tourism to Israel and the Cairo media incessantly reviling their neighbor to the east with anti-Semitic harangues.
Mubarak's official policies towards Israel, however, earned the graces of the United States, which mediated the peace agreement, and Egypt became the second largest recipient of U.S. military aid after Israel.
When Mubarak was forced to step down in February after massive protests paralyzed the country, an interim military council under Field Marshall Mohamed Hussein Tantawi took over.
According to Bar-Joseph, Tantawi has now realized that Grapel is not a spy and that he hopes to maintain the U.S. support, which is crucial to the Egyptian army by finding a quick solution that is acceptable to all sides.
"From the Egyptian perspective it's a move that aims to show good will towards the United States and Israel," Bar-Joseph said.
Bigger issues
Abdel-Rahman Hussein, foreign affairs correspondent with The Daily Star Egypt, said that while a deal might stabilize relations somewhat on the political or diplomatic level, "I doubt whether that would have any effect on popular sentiment. It would also depend on the Egyptian prisoners that would be released."
Hussein argued that to the man-on-the-street in Cairo, the deal isn't all that important as the country has other and larger problems to deal with, as Egypt tries to organize the first election of the post-Mubarak era, but again, it would depend on the specifics of the exchange.
"I don't think whatever opposition there is in the Egyptian street to the peace treaty would be mollified by such an exchange," Hussein argued, noting that "the issues are bigger than that and entail a more just solution regarding the Palestinian people."
Bar-Joseph said that while there are some similarities between the Shalit and Grapel cases, there are also huge differences: Shalit was an Israeli Defense Forces soldier kidnapped by militants, and Israel was more committed to him as such. Grapel, on the other hand, is an American Jew who visited Egypt. It's obvious that he wasn't sent by the Israelis and that it was his own decision to go there, Bar-Joseph argued, saying that in that sense Israel is far less committed to him than to Shalit.
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